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12.12.08

The urgent measures Detroit must take 

Ford Ka in AutocadeEarlier this year, before we found out just how bad Detroit’s financial situation was, I wrote a paper for The Journal of the Medinge Group called ‘Saving Detroit, by Not Making the Same Old Mistakes’. My advice: don’t keep cutting back, because that would lead Detroit down the same path that British Leyland followed when things got dire there. Manage your . And stop the internal .
   But things are far worse today than when I wrote that paper. The are talking about running out of money to stay in business. And yesterday, the US Senate blocked the plan that Congress had OKed.
   As the car bosses went to to ask for a bail-out—or, more accurately, loan guarantees and a credit line—few in the media have dealt with what the Big Three need to do now that things are so dire. Paul Ingrassia, in December’s Condé Nast Portfolio, is one exception, discussing the Chapter 11 option. I still dislike the idea of reducing because I saw what it did to BL; and when people bring up that only has one brand, or one line in a segment, they do so with a very narrow view.
   Toyota has three brands Stateside; and in its own domestic market I don’t know of any size segment where it does not field multiple models, apart from the very top end where it has the Century. In Japan, it has numerous sales’ channels, which have different models, and those channels are almost treated in the same way as treats its divisions.
   Today, I wrote an opinion piece, which I put on to CAP Online—it’s too long for here, and it’s not brand-focused enough for something like The Journal—where I look at what the model ranges in the US should look like.
   There are a few things I missed, such as what to do with Mercury, because I had covered that before. The emphasis was exposing something car buffs knew, but few in the financial press do: that GM and already have world-class models in their ranges, that they have spent billions developing. Politicking inside Detroit simply prevents these models being sold to Americans.
   We are talking about cars that make Corolla, Camry, Civic and Accord look second-class.
   But ’s arrogance and its continued belief that it can pull the wool over American consumers’ eyes by pretending that these cars do not exist—it even pretends, for the most part, that Corolla and Civic don’t exist—has meant that these models never see the showroom floor in the US and Canada. (Some, however, appear in México.) American buyers get second-rate stuff, while these same American-owned companies sell some excellent cars abroad.
   There are even segment-busting models that I reckon US buyers would love, such as the Brazilian Ford EcoSport, a subcompact SUV, or the Chevrolet Meriva, also from Brazil—think of a practical minivan on a subcompact platform and great gas mileage to boot.
    has the option of partnering with firms that would love to have a US presence to fill segments it has failed to compete in. of France, which owns its old European operations, could sell the 207 with a badge. The grille even reminds me a bit of the old Chrysler Concorde’s.
   ’s Insignia, Car of the Year in Europe, sells in Red China as the Regal—which it could do in the US, too.
   And before you argue that European cars would be overpriced or the exchange rates would be unfavourable, the fact remains that Detroit had plenty of opportunity to tool up for them years ago, or to use some of the Mexican and Korean plants to supply the North American market.
   I’ve said on this blog before that if I could forecast the fuel crisis at the beginning of the century, there’s no way that the Whiz Kids in Detroit’s employ wouldn’t have—but bosses chose not to listen and to keep the little duchies as they were.
   And in terms of how the brands should be run—well, I’ve stayed pretty consistent on these strategies for the last decade, and wrote warnings each time there was a wrong move. But, I’m not a Detroit insider. And politics-as-usual in Motown’s boardrooms have taken us to this point today—three decades after gave Detroit a major wake-up call.
   While some of my opinion piece’s ideas are impracticable, and I speak in ideals, they do force Detroit—and Washington, and the American people—to look at just how the Big Three have operated without any notion of or awareness for a long time.
   In 2009, there is no such room for indulgences. We’re talking about emergency measures, and what Detroit needs to do in a stop-gap fashion while it genuinely restructures. I don’t mean piddly, lip-service types of within the firms, but serious, ground-up that the current boards have shown little stomach to carry out so far.

Links
PDF version of ‘Save Detroit—Now’ (click here for HTML version)
PDF version of earlier paper, ‘Saving Detroit, by Not Making the Same Old Mistakes’ (click here for HTML version)
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Comments:
If ever there was royal mess in the U.S, this is one. We have politicans who can't even get their cafetaria to make a profit trying to tell those who run the car companies how to run their business. We have senior level management collecting millions in salaries while their companies remain unprofitable for years. They also didn't fund the retirement accounts for their workers and now that is coming to roost just like it might for those in Congress with Social Security. Lastly, we have the workers who earn $28 an hour which is cool BUT they get another $40 in benefits bringing their total package to nearly $70 an hour. With the international marketplace, who can afford to pay someone $70 an hour?

Oh, did I mention the part the UAW played in Obama's win? Pay back time Obama.

I doubt a bailout is going to work when there is so much wrong in this mess. I wish the American taxpayer could take a pass on this one but, I don't think it's going to happen. Who will have their hand out next after they help out the Detroit 3? I suspect many will. Who do we finally tell no? I have 2 friends who are having their social security checks reduced because the IRS decided they owed income tax on money they NEVER made. How about giving them a bailout? Hell, their's would be cheap compared to the billions all these companies are going to want.  
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Entries from 2006 to the end of 2009 were done on the Blogger service. As of January 1, 2010, this blog has shifted to a Wordpress installation, with the latest posts here.
   With Blogger ceasing to support FTP publishing on May 1, I have decided to turn these older pages in to an archive, so you will no longer be able to enter comments. However, you can comment on entries posted after January 1, 2010.


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